Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000918 0.000954 0.000991 0.001032 0.001075 0.001119 0.001168
2025-10-05 0.000830 0.000881 0.000934 0.000994 0.001061 0.001132 0.001215
2025-10-12 0.000783 0.000845 0.000913 0.000990 0.001079 0.001177 0.001295
2025-10-19 0.000746 0.000817 0.000895 0.000987 0.001095 0.001218 0.001371
2025-10-26 0.000713 0.000789 0.000875 0.000979 0.001103 0.001248 0.001433
2025-11-02 0.000690 0.000772 0.000865 0.000980 0.001121 0.001290 0.001511
2025-11-09 0.000663 0.000748 0.000846 0.000970 0.001123 0.001311 0.001562
2025-11-16 0.000639 0.000727 0.000829 0.000959 0.001124 0.001328 0.001610
2025-11-23 0.000631 0.000723 0.000832 0.000974 0.001156 0.001387 0.001713
2025-11-30 0.000617 0.000713 0.000827 0.000976 0.001172 0.001425 0.001791
2025-12-07 0.000598 0.000694 0.000811 0.000965 0.001169 0.001437 0.001832
2025-12-14 0.000579 0.000676 0.000793 0.000950 0.001160 0.001441 0.001862
2025-12-21 0.000564 0.000662 0.000782 0.000944 0.001163 0.001461 0.001917
2025-12-28 0.000539 0.000634 0.000752 0.000912 0.001130 0.001429 0.001893
2026-01-04 0.000528 0.000624 0.000744 0.000909 0.001136 0.001453 0.001954
2026-01-11 0.000517 0.000614 0.000737 0.000906 0.001143 0.001478 0.002017
2026-01-18 0.000505 0.000603 0.000726 0.000899 0.001142 0.001491 0.002064
2026-01-25 0.000498 0.000597 0.000722 0.000900 0.001154 0.001523 0.002142
2026-02-01 0.000486 0.000585 0.000711 0.000891 0.001150 0.001532 0.002181
2026-02-08 0.000475 0.000574 0.000700 0.000882 0.001146 0.001538 0.002218
2026-02-15 0.000473 0.000574 0.000705 0.000894 0.001174 0.001597 0.002347
2026-02-22 0.000468 0.000569 0.000703 0.000897 0.001186 0.001631 0.002438
2026-03-01 0.000458 0.000559 0.000692 0.000886 0.001180 0.001634 0.002470